Índice Brasileiro de Criminaldade
Palabras clave:
Mensuração, criminalidade, Análise Fatorial, HomicídioResumen
Como mensurar a criminalidade no Brasil? Comumente, são utilizadas duas estratégias: 1) escolha de uma proxy (número de homicídio) e 2) análise de um conjunto de dados. Para literatura especializada, ambas tendem a gerar medidas de baixa validade e confiabilidade. Esse trabalho tenta corrigir esses erros e propõe a criação de um indicador de criminalidade. Precisamente, utilizamos a análise fatorial para reduzir dez variáveis: estupro, tentativa de estupro, lesão corporal, homicídio, tentativa de homicídio, roubo (veículo, instituições financeiras e outros), latrocínio, porte ilegal de armas, porte de entorpecentes e tráfico de entorpecentes. Os dados são referentes às ocorrências registadas entre 2010 e 2012 nos 26 estados mais o Distrito Federal. Os resultados sugerem a construção de um indicador com três componentes ortogonais, capaz de explicar 70% da variância total.
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