Previsão Estatística da Precipitação Mensal para a Região Metropolitana do Recife (Statistical Prediction of Monthly Precipitation for the Recife Metropolitan Region)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26848/rbgf.v6i5.233121Keywords:
TSM, Precipitação e CorrelaçãoAbstract
Foi aplicado um modelo estatístico para observar a correlação das temperaturas da superfície do mar (TSM) nos oceanos pacífico (área dos niños) e Atlântico (áreas do DIPOLO (N-S), norte e sul) com as precipitações observadas durante os meses de abril, maio, junho e julho na Região Metropolitana do Recife (RMR), utilizando legs de 1, 2 e 3 meses. A maior correlação foi observada na precipitação do mês de julho, com as TSM observadas em todos os niños e nas áreas do DIPOLO e o setor norte do Atlântico. Com um r2 de 0,681.
Abstract
We applied a statistical model to observe the correlation of sea surface temperatures (SST) in the Pacific (area of niños) and Atlantic (areas DIPOLE (N-S), north and south) ocean with the observed rainfall during the months of April, May, June and July in the Metropolitan Region of Recife (MRR), using legs 1, 2 and 3 months. The highest correlation was observed rainfall in the month of July, with the SST observed in all areas of the niños and DIPOLE and the northern Atlantic. To a r2 of 0.681.
Keywords: SST, Rainfall e Correlation
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Copyright (c) 2013 Flaviano Fernandes Ferreira, Clênio Torres Filho, Patrice Roland de Oliveira
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