Analysis of the accuracy of daily series of global solar radiation simulated by the weather generator PGECLIMA_R, in the State of Parana, Brazil

Authors

  • Jorim Sousa Virgens Filho Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa
  • Maysa Lima Leite Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa
  • Bruna Luisa Dal Gobbo Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa
  • Ketleyn Pobb Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa
  • Rafaela Steimbach Fruteira Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5935/1984-2295.20140005

Keywords:

global solar radiation, weather generator, PGECLIMA_R

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the accuracy of daily series of global solar radiation, simulated by the weather generator PGECLIMA_R, in the State of Parana, Brazil. For this purpose, there were used historical series of 30 years from 28 different localities, spatially well distributed, so as to represent the entire State. There were five replications for each localitie, allowing to compare the monthly average observed and simulated data to test the accuracy of the generator PGECLIMA_R through statistical analysis of the coefficients of Pearson correlation index ";;r";;, Willmott agreement index ";;d";;, confidence index ";;c";;, the mean bias error (MBE), the root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE). The comparison between data generated by PGECLIMA_R and historical data demonstrated a very satisfactory performance of this weather generator for estimating global solar radiation in almost all studied localities.

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Author Biographies

Jorim Sousa Virgens Filho, Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Associate ProfessorDepartment of Mathematics and StatisticsUniversidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Maysa Lima Leite, Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Associate ProfessorDepartment of General BiologyUniversidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Bruna Luisa Dal Gobbo, Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Undergraduate BiologyDepartment of General BiologyUniversidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Ketleyn Pobb, Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Undergraduate BiologyDepartment of General BiologyUniversidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Rafaela Steimbach Fruteira, Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Mestranda em Engenharia Sanitária e Ambiental, Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa

Published

2014-04-10

How to Cite

Virgens Filho, J. S., Leite, M. L., Dal Gobbo, B. L., Pobb, K., & Fruteira, R. S. (2014). Analysis of the accuracy of daily series of global solar radiation simulated by the weather generator PGECLIMA_R, in the State of Parana, Brazil. Brazilian Journal of Physical Geography, 7(1), 180–192. https://doi.org/10.5935/1984-2295.20140005

Issue

Section

Climatologia e Meteorologia

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